You don't look for evidence of horse droppings when cars are being built

A lot of people are looking for evidence of software abundance - that AI is making it dramatically easier to make more apps.

And aren't finding it. There are no productivity increases! We don't see more software!

[[Malleable Software]] points in part to separate apps maybe going away, and "apps" / visualizations / interfaces being built on the fly with the assistance of LLMs for personal, end user programming.

I think people are going to keep arguing about this until software actually is abundant. There are many complicated paths around training up junior developers and so on. But maybe it's more oriented around [[barefoot developers]] anyway.

I'll explain the title. If LLM-driven development is the "car", rather than just faster horses, measuring things around how software is built the old way means you won't find anything.